The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in January is 95%, with only a 5% chance of a rate cut.
TechFlame
2026-01-22 14:55
TechFlame2026-01-22 14:55
English
TechFlame News: According to Jinshi, ahead of the release of the U.S. November PCE data, CME's "FedWatch" indicates that the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in January is 5%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 95%. By March, the cumulative probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut is 15.4%, the probability of maintaining unchanged rates is 84.1%, and the cumulative probability of a 50-basis-point rate cut is 0.6%.